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Forecasting Mineral Commodity Prices with …

 · Abstract The price with large random fluctuation in mineral market has made it very difficult to do an accurate forecast. To overcome this problem, a multidimensional grey metabolism Markov forecasting method is proposed based on the theories of Grey forecast and Stochastic process. ...

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Modelling and forecasting the demand for coal in China

"Forecasting Long-Run Coal Price in China: A Shifting Trend Time-Series Approach," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 14(s1), pages 499-519, August. Johannes Truby and Moritz Paulus, 2012. "Market Structure Scenarios in International," ...

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Forecasting Energy Commodity Prices Using Neural Networks

tool providing accurate price forecasting is needed. Natural gas, coal, and electricity prices, unlike crude oil, present seasonality features that are usually measured using deterministic techniques. In this paper, we aim to forecast short-term price dynamics in

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Modeling and forecasting electricity spot prices: A functional …

MODELING AND FORECASTING ELECTRICITY SPOT PRICES 1563 (2006)andKoopman, Ooms and Carnero (2007)] or by considering each hour h separately [Karakatsani and Bunn (2008)]. These unnatural aggregations and sep-arations of the data necessarily

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Forecasting European thermal coal spot prices

forecasting coal prices as a dependent variable makes necessary to previously forecast the explanatory variables. ... Baumeister, C., & Kilian, L. (2012). Real-time forecasts of the real price of oil. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 30(2), 326-336 ...

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Multistep-ahead forecasting of coal prices using a hybrid …

 · The forecasting results demonstrated that coal price has peaked before 2016, and the future will fluctuant around 400 (yuan/tonne) (Matyjaszek et al., 2019). used multi-layer feedforward networks (MLFNs), generalized regression neural networks (GRNNs), and

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forecasting coal price 2012

PDF Coal Price Forecasting and Structural Analysis in China Know More An accurate forecasting model for the future coal price fluctuations provides critical information and early warning for government and policymakers to provide a stable supply of energy which ...

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Forecasting coking coal prices by means of ARIMA models …

This is why, to achieve credibility, user-friendly forecasting techniques through which the future price instability can be bounded are needed. This paper examines the performance in forecasting coking coal prices of traditional time series models, ROBUST models, ARIMA models, generalized regression neural networks (GRNNs) and multi-layer feedforward networks (MLFNs).

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COAL PRICE ANALYSIS BY ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS …

Likewise, an analysis of price behavior by using the DJIA index and its relation to the nominal prices of coal, and real prices deflacted to present value of 2012. Then we obtain the prediction of prices using the predictive model generated by the neural network algorithm used, ending with the approach of the conclusions obtained according to the results.

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Coal price expected to average $100/t as China turns to …

China is buying South African coal at a time when analysts are forecasting a buoyant average coal price of $100/t for the first half (H1) of 2021. The purchase of South African coal ...

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Modelling and forecasting the demand for coal in China

"Forecasting Long-Run Coal Price in China: A Shifting Trend Time-Series Approach," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 14(s1), pages 499-519, August. Johannes Truby and Moritz Paulus, 2012. "Market Structure Scenarios in International," ...

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(PDF) Forecasting European thermal coal spot prices

Price forecasting algorithm for coal and electricity based on PSO and RBF neural network. In 2009 IEEE International Conference on Control and Automation, ICCA 2009 ...

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Coal Prices & Coal Market News and Analysis | S&P Global …

Global news, analysis and coal prices. Learn how you can access international coal price assessments and market commentary Register with us today and in less than 60 seconds continue your access to: Latest news headlinesAnalytical topics and featuresCommodities videos, podcast & blogsSample market prices & dataSpecial reportsSubscriber notes & daily commodity email alerts

Forecasting Coal Unit Competitiveness

discount rate, in 2012 dollars. This report is an update to the October 2013 Synapse report "Forecasting Coal Unit Competitiveness,"3 and uses the latest available version of CAVT, version 5.0. Version 5.0 uses power plant capacity,

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(PDF) Coal Price Forecasting and Structural Analysis in China

PDF | Coal plays an important role in China''s energy structure and its price has been continuously decreasing since the second half of 2012. Constant... | Find, read and cite all ...

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A Price Forecasting Model of Iron Ore And | Iron Ore | …

Y (Price of Thermal Coal) = 1.14 Price of Crude + Coal Mining Cost The Price of Crude was taken from IMF website and the description is Crude Oil (Petroleum), simple average of three spot prices; Dated Brent, West Texas Intermediate, and the Dubai Fateh, US$ per Barrel.

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Passion for Stocks and Life: Coal Price Forecast 2010-2011

Coal Prices may Head Up UBS analyst Henry Kirn and Citi Investment Research analyst Brian Yu both expect higher coal prices in 2010 and 2011. Yu expects prices for coking coal will settle at $200/ton in 2010 and 2011, up from earlier forecasts of $140/ton.

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Multistep-ahead forecasting of coal prices using a …

"Coal Price Forecasting and Structural Analysis in China," Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society, Hindawi, vol. 2016, pages 1-7, October. Sun, Shaolong & Sun, Yuying & Wang, Shouyang & Wei, Yunjie, 2018. "Interval decomposition ensemble approach for,"

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Forecasting Mineral Commodity Prices with …

 · Abstract The price with large random fluctuation in mineral market has made it very difficult to do an accurate forecast. To overcome this problem, a multidimensional grey metabolism Markov forecasting method is proposed based on the theories of Grey forecast and Stochastic process. ...

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Forecasting on Indonesian Coal Production and Future …

the coal sale is a function of coal quality and benchmark price. The benchmark price herein used as the basis of estimation is the Asian spot price index which is applicable for coal with calorific value of 6600 kcal/kg (adb). Table 5 shows the estimated average

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DECC Fossil Fuel Price Projections

DECC Fossil Fuel Price Projections 3 DECC 2013 Oil Price Projections All Prices are in 2013 US dollars per barrel Low Central High 2012 113.9 113.9 113.9 2013 95.0 110.0 125.0 2014 93.7 111.3 128.3 2015 92.4 112.7 131.7 2016 91.1 114.0 135.2 ...

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Modeling and forecasting electricity spot prices: A functional …

MODELING AND FORECASTING ELECTRICITY SPOT PRICES: A FUNCTIONAL DATA PERSPECTIVE BY DOMINIK LIEBL ... (2012). Note that the five price-demand functions in the lower panel of Figure 1 are ob-served on different domains. This where all ...

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Analysis and forecasting of electricity price risks with …

Analysis and forecasting of electricity price risks with quantile factor models Sjur Westgaard, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Norway Date: 12 Dec 2012 Time: 3.00pm – 4.00pm Venue: S16-06-118 (The seminar is organized jointly with Dept of

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DECC Fossil Fuel Price Projections

DECC Fossil Fuel Price Projections 3 DECC 2013 Oil Price Projections All Prices are in 2013 US dollars per barrel Low Central High 2012 113.9 113.9 113.9 2013 95.0 110.0 125.0 2014 93.7 111.3 128.3 2015 92.4 112.7 131.7 2016 91.1 114.0 135.2 ...

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Coal Price Forecasts: Long Term, 2021 to 2030 | Data and …

 · The World Bank October 2020 commodity forecast estimated that the price of coal will increase to $57.8/mt in 2021 from $57.3/mt in 2020, with slow price growth beyond 2021. The IMF October 2020 release of the World Economic Outlook detailed an alternate scenario under which prices could reach $63.5/mt in 2021 and increase still further to 2023 to $73-76/mt.

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Modelling and forecasting the demand for coal in China

"Forecasting Long-Run Coal Price in China: A Shifting Trend Time-Series Approach," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 14(s1), pages 499-519, August. Johannes Truby and Moritz Paulus, 2012. "Market Structure Scenarios in International," ...

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Forecasting coking coal prices by means of ARIMA models …

 · After studying coking coal mining investment projects and determining that the claimed financial outcomes are compromised due to inadequate price forecasting (Matyjaszek et al., 2018), this paper addresses the forecasting of coking coal prices by means of

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Coal | 2008-2021 Data | 2022-2023 Forecast | Price | Quote …

Despite all of the above and that coal prices are likely to adjust, demand overall is seen recovering as economies rebound. Historically, Coal reached an all time high of 139.05 in January of 2011. …

Iron Ore, Coking Coal Price Forecast Beyond 2012: …

 · Continued from Part Two. If the real cost of production for iron ore in China is closer to $70 per ton rather than $130 per ton and iron ore demand is

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Coal Price Forecasts

Coal Price Forecasts The only publication of its kind, Energy & Metals Consensus Forecasts is the result of a comprehensive monthly survey of over 40 of the world''s most prominent commodity forecasters covering over 30 individual commodity price forecasts including coal. including coal.

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Energies | Free Full-Text | Will the Steam Coal Price …

The steam coal price in China has been continuously decreasing since the second half of 2012. Constant low price of coal will accelerate the development of thermal power, cause more serious air pollution problems, and bring adverse influence to China''s energy reformation in the future. Therefore, analyzing the factors underlying the phenomenon of the decreasing steam coal price is ...

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Forecasting European thermal coal spot prices

 · Price forecasting algorithm for coal and electricity based on PSO and RBF neural network 2009 IEEE International Conference on Control and Automation, ICCA 2009 (2009), pp. 1365-1369 ...

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Coal Price Forecasts: Long Term, 2021 to 2030 | Data and …

 · The World Bank October 2020 commodity forecast estimated that the price of coal will increase to $57.8/mt in 2021 from $57.3/mt in 2020, with slow price growth beyond 2021. The IMF October 2020 release of the World Economic Outlook detailed an alternate scenario under which prices could reach $63.5/mt in 2021 and increase still further to 2023 to $73-76/mt.

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coal mining outlook 2012

Coal Industry s 2012 Outlook Falls Know More US coal-mining companies are expected to provide cautious 2012 outlooks amid lower prices for coal used by electric utilities and steelmakers as they report results for the final quarter of last

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Energies | Free Full-Text | Will the Steam Coal Price …

The steam coal price in China has been continuously decreasing since the second half of 2012. Constant low price of coal will accelerate the development of thermal power, cause more serious air pollution problems, and bring adverse influence to China''s energy reformation in the future. Therefore, analyzing the factors underlying the phenomenon of the decreasing steam coal price is ...

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Assessment of Prices in the European Electricity Markets …

The price of CIF ARA European coal experienced significant drops during the first half of 2012. The first quarter registered an average price of 114.64 $/ton, 5.98 $/ton less than the same quarter of the past year, and the second quarter registered 101.35 $/ton, 21.99 $/ton less than the second quarter of 2011.

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Coal Prices & Coal Market News and Analysis | S&P Global …

Global news, analysis and coal prices. Learn how you can access international coal price assessments and market commentary Register with us today and in less than 60 seconds continue your access to: Latest news headlinesAnalytical topics and featuresCommodities videos, podcast & blogsSample market prices & dataSpecial reportsSubscriber notes & daily commodity email alerts

Assessment of Prices in the European Electricity Markets …

The price of CIF ARA European coal experienced significant drops during the first half of 2012. The first quarter registered an average price of 114.64 $/ton, 5.98 $/ton less than the same quarter of the past year, and the second quarter registered 101.35 $/ton, 21.99 $/ton less than the second quarter of 2011.

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Coal Price Forecasting and Structural Analysis in China

Coal plays an important role in China’s energy structure and its price has been continuously decreasing since the second half of 2012. Constant low price of coal affected the profits of coal enterprises and the coal use of its downstream firms; the precision of coal price provides a reference for these enterprises making their management strategy. Based on the historical data of coal ...

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Coal Price Forecasts: Long Term, 2021 to 2030 | Data and …

 · The World Bank October 2020 commodity forecast estimated that the price of coal will increase to $57.8/mt in 2021 from $57.3/mt in 2020, with slow price growth beyond 2021. The IMF October 2020 release of the World Economic Outlook detailed an alternate scenario under which prices could reach $63.5/mt in 2021 and increase still further to 2023 to $73-76/mt.

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